Weekly Railfax Report
 

Summary of Rail Freight Traffic from Atlantic Systems Inc.
Data through January 3, 2009 -- 53 W 2008

A Weekly Report of North American Rail Freight Traffic
by Major Railroad and Commodity



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Historical Reports
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ASI maintains a complete database of rail carloadings, with carrier and commodity detail, going back to 1985. We can provide this information as either raw data or formatted reports. Please contact us for further details.
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Total Industry

Major Commodity Groups Total Grain Chemicals Food Forest Metals Coal Autos Intermodal
Current Week                  
Vs. 2007 (14.4%) (24.0%) (19.0%) (13.9%) (29.5%) (41.7%) (3.7%) (52.5%) (10.5%)
Vs. 2006 (20.5%) (18.5%) (16.7%) (13.7%) (41.6%) (42.4%) (0.7%) (71.0%) (22.3%)
4 Week Rolling Avg.                  
Vs. 2007 (15.4%) (23.2%) (23.4%) (16.4%) (28.9%) (40.9%) (0.5%) (39.9%) (14.9%)
Vs. 2006 (19.1%) (22.1%) (21.3%) (15.9%) (38.5%) (41.3%) (3.9%) (49.3%) (19.4%)
Quarter to Date                  
Vs. 2007 (8.4%) (16.4%) (14.3%) (9.9%) (15.8%) (27.4%) 3.1% (30.9%) (7.9%)
Vs. 2006 (9.7%) (8.5%) (10.3%) (9.7%) (25.8%) (29.3%) 3.5% (33.7%) (10.7%)
Year to Date                  
Vs. 2007 (3.2%) 2.3% (3.1%) (2.9%) (11.8%) (8.2%) 3.3% (21.5%) (4.3%)
Vs. 2006 (5.5%) 1.9% 0.3% (4.5%) (22.7%) (12.6%) 2.5% (26.0%) (6.5%)


Special Note for Week 53
All Quarter-to-date comparisons are for 14 weeks ending Week 53, 2008 vs. 14 weeks ending Week 1, 2008
All Year-to-date comparisons are for 53 weeks ending Week 53, 2008 vs. 3 weeks ending Week 1, 2008

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Individual Carriers

Carriers   CSX NSC BNSF KSU UNP CNI CP KCS de Mex.
Current Week                  
Vs. 2007   (19.7%) (14.7%) (14.8%) (2.0%) (13.8%) (18.8%) (30.6%) (29.6%)
Vs. 2006   (28.4%) (28.0%) (15.9%) (3.4%) (20.0%) (21.2%) (33.7%) (30.6%)
4 Week Rolling Avg.                  
Vs. 2007   (18.4%) (15.7%) (15.1%) (4.0%) (16.9%) (20.3%) (23.5%) (18.2%)
Vs. 2006   (23.6%) (21.7%) (18.4%) (10.3%) (21.7%) (19.1%) (25.0%) (22.1%)
Quarter to Date                  
Vs. 2007   (10.8%) (5.8%) (6.0%) (6.1%) (10.9%) (11.1%) (10.3%) (10.4%)
Vs. 2006   (7.7%) (5.6%) (3.9%) (0.5%) (5.5%) (3.2%) (1.3%) (8.8%)
Year to Date                  
Vs. 2007   (4.4%) (2.5%) (2.1%) 2.0% (4.5%) (3.3%) (4.3%) (3.3%)
Vs. 2006   (7.8%) (5.9%) (3.8%) 4.0% (5.6%) (3.3%) (1.3%) (9.4%)
Market Share                  
2008   24.1% 26.0% 35.5% 3.7% 32.8%      
2007   23.4% 23.8% 38.5% 3.9% 32.8%      


Special Note for Week 53
All Quarter-to-date comparisons are for 14 weeks ending Week 53, 2008 vs. 14 weeks ending Week 1, 2008
All Year-to-date comparisons are for 53 weeks ending Week 53, 2008 vs. 3 weeks ending Week 1, 2008

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Total North American Rail Traffic
Combined US, Canadian and Mexican Traffic

North American Major Commodity Groups Total Grain Chemicals Food Forest Metals Coal Autos Intermodal
Current Week                  
Vs. 2007 (16.1%) (25.8%) (21.4%) (14.7%) (30.4%) (33.8%) (5.4%) (50.5%) (11.4%)
Vs. 2006 (21.6%) (22.9%) (19.8%) (15.9%) (45.6%) (28.9%) (4.9%) (70.8%) (20.3%)
4 Week Rolling Avg.                  
Vs. 2007 (16.5%) (21.8%) (23.4%) (16.2%) (27.5%) (35.7%) (1.6%) (37.8%) (15.3%)
Vs. 2006 (19.4%) (23.8%) (22.4%) (17.0%) (39.8%) (30.0%) (4.9%) (48.3%) (18.2%)
Quarter to Date                  
Vs. 2007 (8.8%) (13.6%) (14.6%) (9.5%) (15.6%) (23.3%) 2.8% (31.0%) (7.5%)
Vs. 2006 (9.3%) (10.4%) (10.9%) (10.3%) (26.8%) (18.7%) 3.2% (32.4%) (9.0%)
Year to Date                  
Vs. 2007 (3.3%) (1.9%) (4.1%) (2.8%) (13.2%) (5.5%) 3.1% (21.1%) (3.2%)
Vs. 2006 (5.1%) (3.3%) (0.1%) (4.9%) (24.7%) (7.5%) 2.7% (24.0%) (4.5%)


Special Note for Week 53
All Quarter-to-date comparisons are for 14 weeks ending Week 53, 2008 vs. 14 weeks ending Week 1, 2008
All Year-to-date comparisons are for 53 weeks ending Week 53, 2008 vs. 3 weeks ending Week 1, 2008

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Total North American Rail Traffic (US, Canada and Mexico)
4 Week Rolling Averages
Rail Freight Traffic -- Total Rail Traffic Rail Freight Traffic -- Intermodal Traffic

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Total Industry Charts

Year over Year Percent Change
13 Week Rolling Averages
Rail Freight Traffic -- Total Traffic Year Over Year Change Intermodal Traffic
Baseline Traffic Cyclical Traffic

Weekly Loaded Units
4 Week Rolling Averages
Total Rail Traffic Intermodal Traffic
Baseline Traffic Cyclical Traffic

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Individual Carrier Charts

Total Carrier Traffic Trends
4 Week Rolling Averages
CSX
Norfolk Southern
BNSF Union Pacific
Kansas City Southern
Canadian National Canadian Pacific
Kansas City Southern de Mexico

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Recession Watch

Crushed Stone and Lumber are the two leading indicators of new construction (commercial and residential). Tracking these two economically sensitive commodities gives an up to the minute view of future construction. Recession or full-blown depression? These commodities could be key leading indicators. As with all Railshare data, these charts track shipments through the week ending on the preceding Saturday.



Total North American Carloads
4 Week Rolling Average
(Includes Canadian and Mexican traffic)
Motor Vehicle Traffic Chemicals and Allied Products

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What is Railshare

Railshare is a comprehensive database of North American rail traffic. The data are provided each Thursday by the Association of American Railroads. Atlantic Systems Inc. processes this information and redistributes the data in an easy to use format. Each week's report covers the seven day period ending the preceding Saturday. Rail traffic is disaggregated between carload (traffic moving in traditional freight cars such as box cars, tank cars and hoppers) and intermodal traffic (containers and piggyback service). Railshare provides commodity breakdowns for carload traffic; commodity detail for intermodal traffic is unavailable. Railroads originate and also move traffic jointly with other originating carriers. The carrier totals shown in Railshare aggregate all traffic handled by individual carriers. Market shares are calculated as total handlings by carrier divided by total U.S. originated rail traffic. Railshare graphs show four major breakdowns of rail traffic. Total traffic includes all carload and intermodal traffic; carload traffic is further divided between economically sensitive commodities (cyclical) and those that are less affected by the business cycle (baseline).



For further information please contact

Atlantic Systems Inc.
11 East 44th Street
New York, New York 10017
(212) 981-2529 ext. 13

Railfax Counter

Last Updated on 01/08/09

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