Summary of Rail Traffic from Atlantic Systems Inc.
2002 Summary Report
| Major Commodity Groups |
Total |
Grain |
Chemicals |
Food |
Forest |
Metals |
Coal |
Autos |
Intermodal |
| Current Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
10.4% |
15.2% |
8.8% |
(0.8%) |
5.5% |
32.2% |
4.9% |
(2.5%) |
15.8% |
| Vs. 2000 |
3.2% |
4.9% |
(0.0%) |
3.3% |
(4.9%) |
7.8% |
16.2% |
(13.1%) |
(2.6%) |
| 4 Week Rolling Avg. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
4.7% |
2.5% |
5.8% |
(0.2%) |
(1.1%) |
30.8% |
(2.1%) |
(3.7%) |
9.7% |
| Vs. 2000 |
6.2% |
6.7% |
2.4% |
7.8% |
(4.6%) |
11.6% |
5.9% |
10.7% |
8.1% |
| Quarter to Date |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
1.0% |
(3.7%) |
2.9% |
(1.1%) |
(0.3%) |
19.2% |
(3.2%) |
2.1% |
2.5% |
| Vs. 2000 |
1.4% |
2.1% |
0.6% |
2.0% |
(6.8%) |
11.8% |
2.2% |
3.2% |
0.2% |
| Year to Date |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
1.1% |
(2.9%) |
1.8% |
0.7% |
(1.8%) |
5.0% |
(3.4%) |
3.5% |
4.6% |
| Vs. 2000 |
(0.2%) |
(3.6%) |
(2.5%) |
4.6% |
(9.3%) |
(5.4%) |
1.7% |
(3.1%) |
1.9% |
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| Carriers |
|
CSX |
NSC |
BNSF |
KSU |
UNP |
WCLX |
CNI |
CP |
| Current Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
|
18.4% |
9.7% |
6.7% |
(3.3%) |
5.7% |
23.9% |
8.7% |
7.5% |
| Vs. 2000 |
|
7.5% |
2.5% |
(2.1%) |
0.5% |
4.1% |
(1.6%) |
2.2% |
3.1% |
| 4 Week Rolling Avg. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
|
2.8% |
0.7% |
6.8% |
(3.7%) |
3.2% |
13.3% |
6.9% |
8.2% |
| Vs. 2000 |
|
1.5% |
3.9% |
7.3% |
1.8% |
8.7% |
3.8% |
6.4% |
8.7% |
| Quarter to Date |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
|
0.9% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
(3.9%) |
0.5% |
(2.1%) |
6.1% |
4.1% |
| Vs. 2000 |
|
(0.6%) |
(1.2%) |
0.6% |
2.1% |
1.9% |
(2.9%) |
1.4% |
5.5% |
| Year to Date |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
|
(0.3%) |
1.2% |
0.3% |
(0.6%) |
2.3% |
(6.3%) |
1.6% |
0.5% |
| Vs. 2000 |
|
(3.2%) |
(2.0%) |
(0.2%) |
1.1% |
2.5% |
(8.1%) |
(0.5%) |
1.5% |
| Market Share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2002 |
|
26.6% |
25.3% |
30.8% |
3.4% |
34.4% |
1.8% |
|
|
| 2001 |
|
26.9% |
25.3% |
31.1% |
3.5% |
34.0% |
2.0% |
|
|
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Combined US and Canadian Traffic
| North American Major Commodity Groups |
Total |
Grain |
Chemicals |
Food |
Forest |
Metals |
Coal |
Autos |
Intermodal |
| Current Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
10.0% |
(0.3%) |
6.9% |
(3.5%) |
5.5% |
31.1% |
3.7% |
4.4% |
18.4% |
| Vs. 2000 |
2.6% |
(8.2%) |
2.4% |
(1.7%) |
(4.2%) |
8.4% |
14.0% |
(17.2%) |
0.3% |
| 4 Week Rolling Avg. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
5.1% |
(8.1%) |
6.3% |
(2.3%) |
(0.5%) |
29.0% |
(1.8%) |
(3.4%) |
12.3% |
| Vs. 2000 |
6.3% |
(5.8%) |
3.4% |
4.4% |
(1.9%) |
12.1% |
5.1% |
8.4% |
11.2% |
| Quarter to Date |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
1.7% |
(9.5%) |
4.5% |
(2.4%) |
0.9% |
18.1% |
(3.6%) |
3.2% |
5.3% |
| Vs. 2000 |
1.7% |
(6.0%) |
0.8% |
(0.4%) |
(3.9%) |
11.3% |
1.4% |
2.8% |
3.3% |
| Year to Date |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Vs. 2001 |
1.4% |
(9.1%) |
3.3% |
(0.1%) |
(0.7%) |
4.4% |
(3.8%) |
4.7% |
5.9% |
| Vs. 2000 |
0.0% |
(8.9%) |
(1.5%) |
3.1% |
(6.9%) |
(5.1%) |
1.2% |
(2.7%) |
3.7% |
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Total North American Rail Traffic (US and Canada)
4 Week Rolling Averages
|
|
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Year over Year Percent Change
13 Week Rolling Averages
|
|
|
|
Weekly Loaded Units
4 Week Rolling Averages
|
|
|
|
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Total Carrier Traffic Trends
4 Week Rolling Averages
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Motor Vehicles and Chemicals are the two largest commodities in the cyclical traffic chart presented above. Tracking
these two economically sensitive commodities gives an up to the minute view of the nation's economy. Recession or momentary downturn? These
commodities could be key leading indicators. As with all Railshare data, these charts track shipments through the week ending on the
preceeding Saturday.
Total North American Carloads
4 Week Rolling Average
(Includes Canadian traffic)
|
|
The following charts aggregate rail traffic as reported by the eastern carriers.
The acquisition of Conrail by Norfolk Southern and CSX Corp. was completed on June 1, 1999. NS and CSX
have not restated any prior year traffic so it has been difficult to accurately assess the impact of the transaction.
We have combined all the carriers in the east (Norfolk Southern, CSX, and Conrail (thru May 31, 1999)
to represent the entire region. At this level we can present more accurate year over year traffic trends.
4 Week Rolling Averages
|
|
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What is Railshare
Railshare is a comprehensive database of North American rail traffic. The data are provided each Thursday by the Association of American Railroads.
Atlantic Systems Inc. processes this information and redistributes the data in an easy to use format. Each week's report covers the seven day period ending the preceding Saturday.
Rail traffic is disaggregated between carload (traffic moving in traditional freight cars such as box cars, tank cars and hoppers) and intermodal traffic (containers and piggyback service). Railshare provides commodity breakdowns for carload traffic; commodity detail for intermodal traffic is unavailable.
Railroads originate and also move traffic jointly with other originating carriers. The carrier totals shown in Railshare aggregate all traffic handled by individual carriers. Market shares are calculated as total handlings by carrier divided by total U.S. originated rail traffic.
Railshare graphs show four major breakdowns of rail traffic. Total traffic includes all carload and intermodal traffic; carload traffic is further divided between economically sensitive commodities (cyclical) and those that are less affected by the business cycle (baseline).
For further information please contact
Atlantic Systems Inc.
11 East 44th Street
New York, New York 10017
(347) 293-1776
Last Updated on 01/05/03
By Mark Schulberg
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